看完它进考场,TOEFL 100+只是顺手的事儿？ 7月1日托福写作小范围预测
看完它进考场，TOEFL 100+只是顺手的事儿？| 7月1日托福写作小范围预测
在公布写作题目之前，我们先来说说这个题目的来源，看看这几年托福写作的考试趋势，大家也可以看看我们的预测是如何做出来的。
先上几个统计图：
2012年考试体裁频次统计：
2012年考试话题统计：
2013年考试体裁频次统计：
2013年考试话题统计：
2014年考试体裁频次统计：
2014年考试话题统计：
2015年考试体裁频次统计
2015年考试话题统计
好了，上了这么多，大家看出什么规律了吗？给大家揭秘一下吧
1体裁
而且2015年还出现了一次四选一（吓死宝宝啦）
2体裁趋势
后讲到2014年的38和2015年的34），选择类，不管是二选一还是三选一都在逐步递增
3话题
年前3位是个人生活与习惯，今昔对比，学校教育类；2014年前3位是个人生
活与习惯，今昔对比，政府；2015年前3位是个人生活与习惯，学校教育类，
朋友类和政府类并列第3。可见托福写作开始着重个人生活与习惯的辩论的考察，其次为父母，学校教育，政府，朋友等。
4话题趋势
就话题趋势而言，个人生活与习惯从2012年的8快速上升到2013年的13，然
后稍微讲到2014年的12，又快速降到2015年的7；学校教育类这4年变化
6-4-3-6. 父母类4年变化6-3-2-3；今昔对比3-9-5-1；朋友类4-2-2-3；政府类3-4-4-3；品质类3-1-1-2；
看了每年的，我们来看一下这4年总计。
2012-2015年托福写作考试规律
就这4年全部数据来看，
1体裁方面
体裁方面就粗分就2类：同意不同意以及选择类；细分选择类分为3类，二选一，三选一和四选一（注意注意）；
2话题方面
话题来讲，个人生活与习惯占头筹，其次为学校教育类，今昔对比，政府和父母类并列第四，朋友、品质类、媒体和科技也不容忽视。
我们再来看看2016年上半年都考了啥
2016年已考话题统计
1）体裁统计：
2）话题统计
从2016年已考18场考试体裁来看，二选一已考了5次，三选一已考了2次，同意不同意考了11次；话题而言，政府第一，学校教育第二，个人生活与习惯第三。
好了，开始上7月1日预测话题：
一级重点：
1、父母类
1）Do you agree or disagree？Parents should let their children make mistakes and learn from their own mistake.
2）Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Parents spend too much time to help their children to determine their future; children should be allowed to make choices on their own.
3）Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: parents must have strict rules to help their children to be successful.
2、个人生活与习惯类
1）Do you agree or disagree with the statement: There is never a good reason to be impolite (rude) to another person.
2）Do you agree or disagree: patience is usually not a good strategy; People should take action now rather than later.
3）Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: People care more about public recognition than about money. Public recognition can make people work harder，even no more money is given.
3、品质类
1） Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? The most important characteristic for a politician or a leader is good communication skill.
2） Do you agree or disagree: For success in school and work, the ability to adapt or adjust to a changing condition or circumstance is more important than having excellent knowledge of a job or a field to study.
3） Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? The best leaders are those who are willing to admit when they have made the wrong decisions.
二级重点：
朋友类
1）Do you agree or disagree: it is more important to choose friends who can make you fun or to choose friends who will give help when you need them.
2）Two people can be good friends even if one has more money than the other.
3）Do you agree or disagree . the ability to maintain friendship with a small group is more important than the ability to make new friends easily to gain happiness
今昔对比
1）Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: It is easier to maintain good health than in the past?
2）Do you agree or disagree with the statement: students nowadays are more interested in politics than in the past.
3）Do you agree or disagree with the statement: young people today are more likely to help others than young people were in the past.
科技类
1）All scientific discoveries should be shared among all scientists all around the world；the government and businesses should not keep any discoveries in secret.
2）Although science and technology will continue to improve, the most significant for the quality of peoples live have already taken place.
3）Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? Some scientists are responsible for the negative impacts that are made by their discoveries.
一直信奉“要么不做，要么做好”的做事态度，为了这个预测，仔细研究了近5年的每一道真题，这次是给大家预测题目，以后还会有预测题目的解析和范文，敬请期待。
祝各位考试旗开得胜，胜利归来！嘿嘿~~
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